Gold’s next surge will be driven by institutional demand – Sprott’s Ryan McIntyre – KITCO
Gold’s next surge will be driven by institutional demand – Sprott’s Ryan McIntyre
Kitco News
The Leading News Source in Precious Metals
Kitco NEWS has a diverse team of journalists reporting on the economy, stock markets, commodities, cryptocurrencies, mining and metals with accuracy and objectivity. Our goal is to help people make informed market decisions through in-depth reporting, daily market roundups, interviews with prominent industry figures, comprehensive coverage (often exclusive) of important industry events and analyses of market-affecting developments.
Neils Christensen
Neils Christensen has a diploma in journalism from Lethbridge College and has more than a decade of reporting experience working for news organizations throughout Canada. His experiences include covering territorial and federal politics in Nunavut, Canada. He has worked exclusively within the financial sector since 2007, when he started with the Canadian Economic Press.
Neils can be contacted at:
1 866 925 4826 ext. 1526
nchristensen at kitco.com
@Neils_c
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He has worked exclusively within the financial sector since 2007, when he started with the Canadian Economic Press.rnrn Neils can be contacted at:rn 1 866 925 4826 ext. 1526rn nchristensen at kitco.comrn @Neils_cu003c/pu003e”,”email”:”nchristensen@kitco.com”,”contactEmail”:”nchristensen@kitco.com”,”facebookId”:null,”name”:”Neils Christensen”,”imageUrl”:”https://storage.googleapis.com/kitco-auth/user/KsypJM0Lr7QMCRsLkFRZH66tCcm1/1706048318207.png”,”linkedInId”:”/in/neils-christensen-16904a18/”,”title”:”Editor”,”twitterId”:”@neils_C”,”authorType”:null,”urlAlias”:”/author/neils-christensen”,”roles”:null},”featuredContent”:null,”summaryBullets”:[],”bodyWithEmbeddedMedia”:{“value”:”u003cpu003eu003cmeta charset=”utf-8″u003eu003c/pu003eu003cp dir=”ltr”u003e(Kitco News) – Gold’s rally has been impressive by any historical standard, yet one of the world’s largest precious metals investors argues that the most powerful force behind the next leg higher hasn’t even entered the market.u003c/pu003eu003cp dir=”ltr”u003eAccording to Ryan McIntyre, Senior Managing Partner at Sprott Inc., institutional capital remains stuck in what he describes as the “orientation phase” of the OODA loop—a military decision-making framework used by fighter pilots under stress. Until that loop advances, u003ca href=”https://www.kitco.com/charts/gold”u003egoldu003c/au003e’s bull market may still be operating well below its full potential.u003c/pu003eu003cp dir=”ltr”u003eThe OODA loop—Observe, Orient, Decide, Act—offers a useful lens for understanding why gold’s strength has failed to trigger broad institutional reallocation. McIntyre argues that large asset managers have clearly completed the first step.u003c/pu003eu003cp dir=”ltr”u003e“They’ve observed the price going up,” he said, noting that u003ca href=”https://www.kitco.com/charts/gold”u003egoldu003c/au003e’s gains are now impossible to ignore. But observation alone does not translate into capital flows. The second phase—orientation—is where most institutions remain stuck.u003c/pu003eu003cp dir=”ltr”u003eMcIntyre said that the problem for institutional players is that their knowledge base in the precious metals space has disappeared over the last decade. He noted that many firms no longer have internal u003ca href=”https://www.kitco.com/charts/gold”u003egoldu003c/au003e expertise, or even a “champion” capable of arguing for precious metals exposure at the investment committee level.u003c/pu003eu003cp dir=”ltr”u003eDespite gold posting gains that would trigger aggressive inflows in almost any other asset class, institutions have yet to move beyond due diligence, he said.u003c/pu003eu003cp dir=”ltr”u003eMcIntyre said that he has seen firsthand the institutional hesitancy toward gold. He explained that Sprott has not received a single new institutional mandate specifically targeting gold or precious metals equities—even after gold’s sharp rally.u003c/pu003eu003cp dir=”ltr”u003eMcIntyre pointed out that if any conventional equity sector were up 60% or more in a year, asset managers would be “flooding the phones.” With u003ca href=”https://www.kitco.com/charts/gold”u003egoldu003c/au003e, the reaction has been markedly different.u003c/pu003eu003cp dir=”ltr”u003eMcIntyre pointed to multiple indicators reinforcing this view: gold-backed ETF holdings remain well below their prior peaks, mining equity participation is still deeply depressed, and risk appetite within the sector remains historically low. He said that these are not late-cycle characteristics; they are signs of a market that has yet to attract its largest potential buyers.u003c/pu003eu003cp dir=”ltr”u003eAlthough institutional investors continue to largely ignore gold, McIntyre said that this trend won’t last.u003c/pu003eu003cp dir=”ltr”u003eHe said that a shift toward u003ca href=”https://www.kitco.com/charts/gold”u003egoldu003c/au003e will be driven by instability elsewhere—particularly in equity markets that have so far insulated investors from hard choices.u003c/pu003eu003cp dir=”ltr”u003eFurther turmoil in bond markets, as government debt continues to grow unsustainably, will also push investors to look for new safe-haven assets.u003c/pu003eu003cp dir=”ltr”u003e“Because of stubborn inflation, there’s not a lot of room for error. It’s a suicide mission to hold long-term bonds in this low-interest-rate environment,” he said.u003c/pu003eu003cp dir=”ltr”u003eAs to what a new portfolio might look like as institutional players slowly start to adjust their holdings, McIntyre said that he prefers to build a 10% core position in gold and a 5% tactical position in mining equities.u003c/pu003eu003cp dir=”ltr”u003eWith many analysts now seeing gold hitting $5,000 an ounce as a near certainty this year, McIntyre said that, regardless of price targets, he sees u003ca href=”https://www.kitco.com/charts/gold”u003egoldu003c/au003e outperforming equities and bonds for the foreseeable future.u003c/pu003e”,”embeddedMedia”:[]},”urlAlias”:”/news/article/2026-01-21/golds-next-surge-will-be-driven-institutional-demand-sprotts-ryan-mcintyre”,”source”:{“id”:108,”name”:”Kitco News”,”description”:”u003cpu003eKitco NEWS has a diverse team of journalists reporting on the economy, stock markets, commodities, cryptocurrencies, mining and metals with accuracy and objectivity. 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